Reunión semestral del Proyecto LINK en Beijing (I)

Desde el pasado día 13 me encuenro en Beijing asistiendo a la reunión semestral del Poyecto LINK de las Naciones Unidas. Se trta de una reunión de predicción económica inernacional sobre la que pretendo informar con más detalle en este blog. De momeno adjuno el programa general de la reunión:

Project LINK Spring Meeting 2007
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Jianguo Garden Hotel, Beijing

May 14-17, 2007
Monday, May 14, 2007
(Jianguo Garden Hotel)
9:00-9:15
Opening Ceremony
Chair: Pingfan Hong
Wang Changsheng, Director, State Information Center
Peter Pauly, University of Toronto
9:15-10:00
Lawrence R. Klein Lecture:
Chair: Pingfan Hong
Evaluation of Global Econometric Models
Clive Granger, University of California at San Diego
10:00-10:15
Tea break
10:15-12:15
World Economic Outlook
Chair: Bert Hickman
UN/LINK Global Economic Outlook
Robert Vos, United Nations, New York
IMF Global Outlook
Timothy Callen, IMF, Washington
Comments on the Global Outlook:
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics, New York
Yu Yongding, Director, Institute of World Economics, Chinese Academy of Social
Sciences, Beijing
General Discussion
1
12:15 – 1:15
Lunch
1:15 Transportation to Great Hall of the People
14:30-17:30
(Great Hall of the People)
Joint CASS Forum and Project LINK Session
Chair: Wang Tongsan
Opening Address
Leng Rong, Executive Vice-President, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
From High-speed Growth to Harmonious Development – Review and Prospect for China’s Economy
Chen Jiagui, Vice-President, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
A Comparison of Economic Growth Between China and India
Clive Granger, University of California at San Diego
Economic Growth in China and Its Sustainability
Laurence R. Klein, University of Pennsylvania China’s Economic Situation
Xie Fuzhan, Commissioner, National Bureau of Statistics of China
Global Economic Imbalances Re-Examined
Peter Pauly, University of Toronto
International Policy Coordination for the Adjustment of Global Imbalances
Robert Vos and Pingfan Hong, United Nations, New York
Evening: Banquet hosted by Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Jianguo Garden Hotel, 2nd Floor , 6:30 pm
2
Tuesday, May 15, 2007
(Jianguo Garden Hotel)
9:00 – 10:30
Global Imbalances and China’s Role in the International Financial System
Chair: Duncan Ironmonger
Bank Reform in China: What It Means for the World
Donald Brean, University of Toronto
Two Basic Strategies to Cope With the Problem of Excess Liquidity
Li Yang, Director, Institute of Finance and Banking, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing
General Discussion
10:30 – 10:45
Tea break
10:45-12:30
The Global Trading System
Chair: Delia Nilles
Import Growth and the Impact of Globalization
Ray Barrell, Iana Lindze, and Olga Pomerantz, NIESR, London
The E7 in International Trade: Dynamism and Cooperation
Sudip Ranjan Basu, UNCTAD, Geneva
The Historic Mission of the WTO and Responsibilities of China
Pei Changhong, Director, Institute of Finance and Trade, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing
12:45 – 13:45
Lunch
3
14:00 – 15:30
World Economic Outlook and Regional Perspectives
Chair: Carlo D’Adda
Industrial Countries Overview
Ray Barrell, NIESR, London
Country Presentation:
US : Lawrence R. Klein, University of Pennsylvania (video)
World Commodity Markets: Prospects and Risks
F. Gerard Adams, Northeastern University, Boston
Willy Meyers, University of Missouri-Columbia
Robert Kaufmann, Boston University
Perspectives from National Participants
15:30 – 15:45
Tea break
16:00 – 17:30
Macroeconomic Modeling for Policy Analysis
Chair: Thomas Wilson
Financial Crisis, Effective Policy Rules and Bounded Rationality in a New Keynesian Framework
Ali Al-Eyd and Stephen Hall, University of Leicester
Credit Market Imperfections and the Power of the Financial Accelerator
Marco Cavalcanti, IPEA, Rio de Janeiro
The NOK/Euro Exchange Rate After Inflation Targeting: The Interest Rate Rules
R. Bjørnstadt and E. Jansen, Statistics Norway, Oslo
Evening: Banquet hosted by the National Bureau of Statistics
Beijing International Hotel, 6:30 pm
4
Wednesday, May 16, 2007
(Jianguo Garden Hotel)
9:00 – 10:30
Global Economic Issues: Emerging Markets
Chair: Jan van Heerden
World Bank Emerging Markets Overview
Hans Timmer , World Bank, Washington
Panel Discussion on Emerging Market Outlook
Keiji Inoue, United Nations, New York,
Kenneth Ruffing, OECD/ADB, Paris
Léonce Ndikumana, UNECA, Addis Ababa
Cornelia Kaldewei, United Nations, New York
Perspectives from National Participants
10:30 – 10:45
Tea break
10:45 – 12:30
Global Growth and Environmental Issues
Chair: Mette Rolland
Growth Determinants Analysis: A Combination of Traditional and Bayesian Approach
Andre Dramais, Commission of the EC
Convergence or Divergence in the Information Era
Ji Chou and Tsui-Chuan Huang, Shi Hsin University
The Market for Biofuels
Willy Meyers, University of Missouri-Columbia
Valuing Ecosystem Services: A Shadow Price for Net Primary Production
Amy Richmond ,Robert Kaufmann, and Ranga B. Myneni, Boston University
12:45 – 13:45
Lunch
5
14:00 – 15:30
Applied Economic Issues
Chair: Adolfo Castilla
Capital Flow Volatility and Exchange Rates: the Case of India
Pami Dua and Partha Sen, Delhi School of Economics
A New Structural Model of the Global Oil Market
S. Dees, A. Gasteuil, P. Karadeloglou, and R. Kaufmann, European Central Bank, Frankfurt and Boston University
Openness and Reforms in the CIS and China: Empirical Results from Gravity Models
Malinka Koparanova and Hung-Yi Li, United Nations, New York
15:30 – 15:45
Tea break
15:45 – 17:15
Contributed Papers on Modeling Issues
Chair: Alexander Welfe
Real-time Data Based on OECD and IMF Projections
Heinz Glueck and Stephan Schleicher, Austrian National Bank and University of Graz
Time-Varying Lag Operators: Theory and Application to Measure Business Cycle Synchronization Among EU Members
Viktor Varpalotai, Bank of Hungary, Budapest
Current Quarter Model for Turkey
Suleyman Ozmucur, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia
17:15 – 17:30
Closing Session
Evening: Banquet hosted by the Ford Foundation and the Chinese Association of
Quantitative Economics
Please gather in the lobby of the Jianguo Garden Hotel at 6:00pm to be
bussed to location.
Thursday, May 17, 2007
Full day excursion to the Great Wall
Evening: Banquet hosted by the State Information Center
Labour Culture Palace, please gather in the lobby of the Jianguo Garden
Hotel at 6:00pm to be bussed.

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Doctor Ingeniero del ICAI y Catedrático de Economía Aplicada, Adolfo Castilla es también Licenciado en Económicas por la Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Licenciado en Informática por la Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, MBA por Wharton School, Master en Ingeniería de Sistemas e Investigación Operativa por Moore School (Universidad de Pennsylvania). En la actualidad es asimismo Presidente de AESPLAN, Presidente del Capítulo Español de la World Future Society, Miembro del Alto Consejo Consultivo del Instituto de la Ingeniería de España, Profesor de Dirección Estratégica de la Empresa en CEPADE y en la Universidad Antonio de Nebrija.

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